Golf

U.S. Open odds, picks and predictions for Phil Mickelson


Less than a month after winning his second PGA Championship, Phil Mickelson will try once again to complete the career grand slam with the elusive U.S. Open.

This will be Mickelson’s second U.S. Open at Torrey Pines (South) in San Diego. He tied for 18th in 2008 when Tiger Woods defeated Rocco Mediate in a playoff. It’s a hometown course of sorts for the 50-year-old from San Diego.

Mickelson, who enters the week at No. 117 in the Golfweek/Sagarin men’s ranking, is +5000 to win the U.S. Open as a mid-range contender. He was +15000 prior to his PGA Championship win, his first PGA Tour victory since February 2019.

Below, we look at the 2021 U.S. Open odds for Phil Mickelson. Odds provided by BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Odds and best bets for Phil Mickelson

Outright winner: +5000

Mickelson’s unexpected PGA Championship win dropped his U.S. Open odds considerably, but there’s still a chance for a quality payday with a $100 bet returning a profit of $5,000.

His inability to win the U.S. Open to date has been much discussed, but he has six runner-up finishes and four other top-10 showings in 27 appearances as a professional. He was the low amateur in 1990 and 1991.

He conquered the longest major venue ever at Kiawah Island and still has the distance to contend in major championships. His short game has also long been well-suited to U.S. Open conditions. Add in the local factor, and Mickelson is worth a small bet at +5000.

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U.S. Open

Phil Mickelson hits from a sand trap on the 12th green during a practice round of the U.S. Open at Torrey Pines. (Photo: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports)

Top-20 finish: +240

We’re still getting the chance to better than double up our investment with 19 places of cushion for the top-20 finish. His T-18 placing at Torrey Pines in 2008 was among the best of those in this year’s field.

He’s a three-time winner and two-time runner-up at the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines, though that tournament is split between the North and South courses while the U.S. Open is played exclusively on the South Course.

Top American: +4000

PASS on this nationality prop with a lesser payout than the outright win and six of the top-seven betting favorites hailing from the U.S.

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Leader after 1st round: +6000

Mickelson started his PGA Championship run with a round of 2-under-par 70 en route to winning at 6 under. Two weeks earlier, he opened the Wells Fargo Championship with a 7-under 64 and the first-round lead.

He’s a good bet for the 18-hole lead this week until the grueling U.S. Open conditions catch up to the 50-year-old, who’s already the oldest major winner ever.

Will Mickelson make the cut? No: +110

Hedge against disaster befalling Mickelson by backing him to miss the weekend at plus money.

He missed the cut in five of his 12 events this year and in two of his last four U.S. Open appearances.

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