Food

Smucker first-quarter performance falls short of expectations



ORRVILLE, OHIO — Quarterly sales were under pressure across each of the major businesses of The J.M. Smucker Co. in the first quarter ended July 31, and adjusted earnings were down.

Smucker net income in the period was $154.6 million, or $1.36 per share on the common stock, up 16% from $133 million, or $1.17 per share, in the first quarter of fiscal 2019. Net sales were $1,778.9 million, down 6% from $1,902.66 million.

Adjusted earnings per share in the quarter were down 11% from the previous year. Comparable net sales, adjusted for the divestiture of the company’s baking products business and the acquisition of the Ainsworth Pet Nutrition business, were down 4%.

Breaking down the sales decline, lower volume accounted for 3 percentage points with lower pricing accounting for the balance. Prices during the quarter were down for coffee and peanut butter. Pet foods and snacks were up.

Following the challenging first quarter, Smucker adjusted its full-year outlook for fiscal 2020. Guidance for adjusted earnings per share was lowered to $8.35 to $8.55, down 10c, and the company’s sales were forecast to be flat to down 1%, versus previous guidance of up 1% to 2%.

Management expressed disappointment with the quarterly results.

“Our first-quarter performance fell short of our expectations primarily due to the timing of shipments and deflationary pricing in the coffee and peanut butter categories, as well as competitive activity in the premium dog food category,” said Mark T. Smucker, chief executive officer. “We have continued momentum in many key product categories, and we are already taking decisive actions and prioritizing initiatives that strengthen our business. We remain confident in our strategy, which includes a continued focus on our growth imperatives to lead in the best categories, build brands consumers love, and be everywhere, combined with a relentless focus on operating with financial discipline, all of which will enhance shareholder value for the long term.”

In a conference call with analysts Aug. 27, Mr. Smucker ratcheted up his language in regard to the quarterly results.

“Given the momentum we generated in the past two quarters, the miss relative to our expectations in this first quarter is unacceptable, particularly as it relates to our top-line sales,” he said.

Steps he said the company was taking to address the shortfall included, “improving the consumer value proposition at shelf, the continued launch of new advertising across multiple brands and driving awareness and trial in premium dog food.”

Additionally, he said Smucker has initiated a reprioritization of company-wide initiatives, cutting certain discretionary expenses.

Mr. Smucker expressed excitement about a new marketing campaign he said would set a new standard for the consumer packaged foods industry.

“We’re at the very beginning of this new brand support hitting the market,” he said. “We are excited about the brand refresh underway and recently launched new advertising for the Jif and Smucker’s brands. We will continue to launch new campaigns across nine of our key brands in the upcoming months. These new breakthrough campaigns are bold, strengthen our brands’ relevance in today’s culture and set a new bar for C.P.G. creative effectiveness, which we fully expect to support top-line growth.”

In trading on the New York Stock Exchange Aug. 27, Smucker shares fell sharply, closing at $103.69, down $9.24, or 9%.

In the company’s U.S. Retail Consumer Foods segment, operating profit in the first quarter was $81 million, down 17% from the first quarter last year. Net sales were $402.2 million, also down 17%. Excluding non-comparable results, sales were down 3%.

Excluding the effects of the divestiture of the company’s baking products business, segment profits would have fallen 8%. Factors in the drop were lower pricing, lower input costs and increased expenses associated with the construction and start-up of the new Uncrustables production plant in Longmont, Colo.

A price cut on Jif peanut butter contributed to a 4 percentage point drop in segment sales, offset partly by a 1 percentage point favorable volume/mix contribution, mostly due to strong sales of Uncrustables.

With production underway at the new Longmont Uncrustables plant, Mr. Smucker said sales of the frozen sandwiches should accelerate in coming months.

“The volume shipping from this plant is currently small as we execute the start-up process,” he said. “As planned, we will expand capacity throughout the year to support a significant increase in sales during the second half of the year. We remain on track to grow this business to over $500 million in net sales within the next few years compared to approximately $300 million in fiscal 2019.”

Also encouraging has been the strength of the Jif Power-Ups platform. Mr. Smucker said the innovation has helped boost household penetration for the Jif brand by over 2 million households over the past year “as a result of our new on-trend snack offerings.”

The growth rate for the brand slowed during the first quarter, but Mr. Smucker said the company remains confident in growth potential moving forward.

Segment profit for the U.S. Retail Coffee business was $128.9 million, down 13% from the first quarter last year. Sales were $465.7 million, down 5%. Reduced volume/mix and the effects of lower pricing and green coffee costs cut into profits.

The sales decrease included lower net price realization of 3 percentage points.

“Net pricing reflected planned promotional activity across all brands in the segment resulting from significantly lower green coffee costs,” the company said. “Net sales were further reduced by 2 percentage points due to lower volume/mix, primarily attributable to the Folgers brand. Retailer inventory adjustments across all brands accounted for a portion of the reduced volume/mix.”

Mr. Smucker said the company has maintained or grown share in the coffee market and expressed confidence that the sales drop represents a “temporary dynamic.”

“While we expected a sales deceleration from the fourth quarter, the decline was greater than anticipated,” he said.

Operating profits in the U.S. Retail Pet Foods business was $120.1 million, up 20% from the same quarter in fiscal 2019. Sales were flat at $669.9 million. Excluding the contribution of Ainsworth, acquired last year, sales were down $26.7 million. A decline in private label sales included planned exits and soft trends. Accounting for about half the profit increase was a $10.9 million negative fair value purchase adjustment in the prior year. Ainsworth also contributed.

The guidance revisions were the source of extensive discussion during the conference call. The executives suggested the second quarter will be a difficult one too, and that sales and earnings strength will emerge more clearly in the second half of the year.

Mark R. Belgya, vice-chairman and chief financial officer, said sales will “improve sequentially each quarter,” boosted in part by the ramp up of the new Uncrustables plant.

“Similar to the cadence in net sales, the earnings per share growth is also expected to be realized in the back half of the year as the same headwinds impacting sales in the first half are also impacting profit,” he said.

Responding to questions, Mr. Belgya also mentioned the Nutrish pet food brand, the Dunkin’ and Bustelo coffee brands and an expected lift from the new advertising campaign.

Mr. Smucker focused on the earnings guidance.

“As the c.e.o. of this company, delivering on our commitments to our shareholders is a foundational priority,” he said. “And so we clearly — we won’t do our initial guidance on the top line, but we will do whatever is within our power to ensure that we deliver earnings growth. And as we’ve said before, that we’re in the business for the long term, the progress is not linear and it can be lumpy. This quarter is an example of lumpiness.”

Another analyst said a modest downward revision in guidance early in a fiscal year was unusual and asked the executives what prompted the move. Mr. Smucker attributed the decision to a commitment to transparency with investors.

“Given what we know this quarter, despite being disappointed in the guide down, we felt that it was the right thing to do,” he said.



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