Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay – ‘Babylon,‘ ’Elvis‘ and ’Triangle of Sadness’ Among the Screenplays Going for the Fifth Spot

Rank Film Writer(s) Distributor 1 “The Banshees of Inisherin” Martin McDonagh Searchlight Pictures Two lifelong friends find themselves at an impasse when one abruptly ends their relationship, with alarming consequences for both of them. 2 “Tár” Todd Field Focus Features Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and first-ever female chief conductor of a major German orchestra. 3 “Everything Everywhere All at Once” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert A24 An aging Chinese immigrant is swept up in an insane adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes connecting with the lives she could have led. 4 “The Fabelmans” Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg Universal Pictures A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from age seven to eighteen. 5 “Triangle of Sadness” Ruben Östlund Neon A cruise for the super-rich sinks thus leaving survivors, including a fashion model celebrity couple, trapped on an island. Next in Line 6 “Aftersun” Charlotte Wells A24 Sophie reflects on the shared joy and private melancholy of a holiday she took with her father twenty years earlier. Memories real and imagined fill the gaps between as she tries to reconcile the father she knew with the man she didn’t. 7 “Elvis” Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce, Jeremy Doner Warner Bros. Biopic of Elvis Presley, from his childhood to becoming a rock and movie star in the 1950s while maintaining a complex relationship with his manager, Colonel Tom Parker. 8 “Babylon” Damien Chazelle Paramount Pictures A deeply personal coming-of-age story about the strength of family and the generational pursuit of the American Dream. 9 “Till” Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly Orion/United Artists Releasing A young, gay Black man, rejected by his mother and with few options for his future, decides to join the Marines, doing whatever it takes to succeed in a system that would cast him aside. 10 “The Woman King” Maria Bello, Dana Stevens TriStar Pictures A historical epic inspired by true events that took place in The Kingdom of Dahomey, one of the most powerful states of Africa in the 18th and 19th centuries. Other Top-Tier Contenders 11 “The Menu” Seth Reiss, Will Tracy Searchlight Pictures 12 “Armageddon Time” James Gray Focus Features 13 “Nope” Jordan Peele Universal Pictures 13 “The Inspection” Elegance Bratton A24 14 “RRR”   S.S. Rajamouli, Vijayendra Prasad Variance Films 15 “Empire of Light” Sam Mendes Searchlight Pictures 17 “Close” Lukas Dhont, Angelo Tijssens A24 18 “Decision to Leave” Park Chan-wook, Seo-kyeong Jeong Mubi 19 “Nanny” Nikyatu Jusu Amazon Studios 20 “Broker” Hirokazu Kore-eda Neon Also In Contention 21 “Holy Spider” Ali Abbasi, Afshin Kamran Bahrami Utopia 22 “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Cooper Raiff Apple Original Films 23 “Thirteen Lives” William Nicholson, Don MacPherson Amazon Studios/MGM 24 “Call Jane” Hayley Schore, Roshan Sethi Roadside Attractions 25 “Emancipation” Bill Collage Apple Original Films All Contenders Listed (Unranked-Alphabetical) — “A Jazzman’s Blues” Tyler Perry Netflix — “A Love Song” Max Walker-Silverman Bleecker Street — “Aftersun” Charlotte Wells A24 — “Palm Trees and Power Lines” Jamie Dack, Audrey Findlay Momentum Pictures — “You Won’t Be Alone” Goran Stolevski Focus Features — “Alice, Darling” Alanna Francis Lionsgate — “Am I OK?” Lauren Pomerantz HBO Max — “Amsterdam” David O. Russell 20th Century Studios — “Argentina, 1985” Mariano Llinás, Santiago Mitre Amazon Studios — “Armageddon Time” James Gray Focus Features — “As They Made Us” Mayim Bialik Quiver — “Athena” Elias Belkeddar, Romain Gavras, Ladj Ly Netflix — “Babylon” Damien Chazelle Paramount Pictures — “God’s Creatures” Shane Crowley, Fodhla Cronin O’Reilly A24 — “Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths” Nicolás Giacobone, Alejandro González Iñárritu Netflix — “The Eternal Daughter” Joanna Hogg A24 — “Bodies Bodies Bodies” Sarah DeLappe, Kristen Roupenian A24 — “Broker” Hirokazu Kore-eda Neon — “Bros” Billy Eichner, Nicholas Stoller Universal Pictures — “Call Jane” Hayley Schore, Roshan Sethi Roadside Attractions — “Causeway” Luke Goebel, Ottessa Moshfegh A24/Apple Original Films — “Cha Cha Real Smooth” Cooper Raiff Apple Original Films — “Close” Lukas Dhont, Angelo Tijssens A24 — “Corsage” Marie Kreutzer IFC Films — “Crimes of the Future” David Cronenberg Neon — “Decision to Leave” Jeong Seo-kyeong, Park Chan-wook Mubi — “Dog” Reid Carolin, Brett Rodriguez MGM/United Artists Releasing — “Don’t Worry Darling” Katie Silberman, Carey Van Dyke, Shane Van Dyke Warner Bros — “Elvis” Baz Luhrmann, Sam Bromell, Craig Pearce, Jeremy Doner Warner Bros. — “Emancipation” William D. Collage Apple Original Films — “Emily the Criminal” John Patton Ford Roadside Attractions/Vertical Entertainment — “Empire of Light” Sam Mendes Searchlight Pictures — “Everything Everywhere All at Once” Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert A24 — “God’s Country” Julian Higgins, Shaye Ogbonna IFC Films — “Good Luck to You, Leo Grande” Katy Brand Searchlight Pictures — “Good Night Oppy” Ryan White, Helen Kearns Amazon Studios — “Holy Spider” Ali Abbasi, Afshin Kamran Bahrami Utopia — “Honk for Jesus. Save Your Soul.” Adamma Ebo Focus Features — “The Outfit” Graham Moore, Johnathan McClain Focus Features — “Hustle” Taylor Materne, Will Fetters Netflix — “I Love My Dad” James Morosini Magnolia Pictures — “Whitney Houston: I Wanna Dance with Somebody” Anthony McCLofty Sky Distributionn Sony Pictures — “Master” Mariama Diallo Amazon Studios — “Montana Story” Scott McGehee, David Siegel, Mike Spreter Bleecker Street — “Nanny” Nikyatu Jusu Amazon Studios — “Nitram” To be added IFC Films — “Nope” Jordan Peele Universal Pictures — “One Fine Morning” Mia Hansen-Løve Sony Pictures Classics — “Piggy” Carlota Pereda Magnolia Pictures — “Raymond & Ray” To be added Apple Original Films — “Resurrection” Andrew Semans IFC Films — “RRR” Vijayendra Prasad, S.S. Rajamouli Variance Films — “Saint Omer” Alice Diop, Amrita Davis, Zoé Galeron, Marie N’Diaye Neon/Super — “See How They Run” Mark Chappell A24 — “Strange World” Qui Nguyen Walt Disney Pictures — “Tár” Todd Field Focus Features — “The Fabelmans” Tony Kushner, Steven Spielberg Universal Pictures — “The Greatest Beer Run Ever” Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly, Pete Jones Apple Original Films — “The Inspection” Elegance Bratton A24 — “The Lost King” Steve Coogan, Jeff Pope Warner Bros. — “The Menu” Seth Reiss, Will Tracy Searchlight Pictures — “The Northman” Robert Eggers, Sjón Focus Features — “The Sea Beast” Chris Williams, Neil Benjamin Netflix — “The Swimmers” Sally El Hosaini, Jack Thorne Netflix — “The Unbearable Weight of Massive Talent” Tom Gormican, Kevin Etten Lionsgate — “The Woman King” Maria Bello, Dana Stevens TriStar Pictures — “Thirteen Lives” William Nicholson, Don MacPherson Amazon Studios/MGM — “Ticket to Paradise” Ol Prker, Daniel Pipski Universal Pictures — “Till” Keith Beauchamp, Chinonye Chukwu, Michael Reilly Orion/United Artists Releasing — “Tori and Lokita” The Dardenne Brothers Janus Films — “Triangle of Sadness” Ruben Östlund Neon — “Turning Red” Domee Shi, Julia Cho, Sarah Streicher Pixar — “Vengeance” B.J. Novak Focus Features — “X” Ti West A24