CHICAGO — Despite weak results in North America, Mondelez International, Inc. generated strong earnings and sales gains in the year ended Dec. 31. The company’s adjusted earnings for 2021 rose high single digits even as North American operating income fell sharply.
Net income in 2021 at Mondelez was $4.3 billion, equal to $3.06 per share on the common stock, up 21% from $3.56 billion, or $2.48 per share, in 2020. Net sales were $28.7 billion, up 8% from $26.6 billion.
Adjusted earnings per share rose 9%, strength Mondelez attributed to operating gains, higher earnings from equity method investments and lower interest expense, partially offset by higher taxes.
“2021 marked another year of strong top- and bottom-line results despite a challenging macro environment,” said Dirk Van de Put, chairman and chief executive officer. “We continued to execute well against our strategic growth initiatives with volume-led top-line growth, strong profitability, increased investments in brands and capabilities, and strong free cash flow generation. We further strengthened our portfolio with the addition of several growth accretive acquisitions, which increase our exposure to broader snacking categories and expanding profit pools.”
Hangover effects from a work stoppage in the company’s third quarter weighed on North America results in the fourth quarter and for the full year.
Adjusted operating income of the North America business of Mondelez in 2021 was $1.59 billion, down 10% from $1.77 billion in the year ended Dec. 31, 2020. Sales were $8.3 billion, up 1.8% from $8.16 billion in 2020. Fourth-quarter operating income in North America was $361 million, down 20% from $453 million a year earlier. Sales were $2.19 billion, up 0.6% from $2.18 billion.
While the company was able to mitigate the third-quarter effects of an Aug. 10-Sept. 18 strike at Nabisco plants, management had warned that the stoppage took a toll on inventories. Efforts to rebuild inventories have been hampered by supply chain difficulties.
The effects of the strike, global inflation and supply chain challenges were the subject of extensive discussion in a Jan. 27 management conference call with investment analysts. One analyst noted that the limp sales results in the fourth quarter appeared at odds with robust demand during the period indicated in Nielsen retail data.
Mr. Van de Put said Mondelez has not been able to fully resupply customers during the period and noted that sales in 2021 were strong relative to 2019.
“Demand remains very robust, but our growth that you see is impacted by supply chain constraints and phasing of some of the price actions,” he said. “And so in between those is our inventory, of course. And if you look at North America, we grew or we were flat for the year, let’s say. But for a two-year CAGR (compound annual growth rate), we’re at 4%, which is still quite strong.
“If you look at the last quarters, we had the strike in Q3, which left us with low inventory levels. And although improving, it’s going slower than you would normally expect because of all the supply chain disruption that everybody is experiencing. And so we think that we will still continue to see on shelf effects from the strike throughout Q1.”
Mr. Van de Put said Mondelez is more reliant on contract manufacturing than its competitors, exacerbating its challenges.
“Those external manufacturers are facing labor challenges, and we expect also that we will continue to see some pressures in that area, at least for Q1,” he said.
He noted that price increases announced for Jan. 1 were not yet reflected in 2021 results but will be helpful in the new year.
“As we look at Q1, we expect the top line in North America to improve,” Mr. Van de Put said. “The margins will also improve, but it’s going to be sequentially.”
The fourth quarter was not without positives in North America.
“The pandemic continues to fuel the desire for comfort and indulgence, benefiting our categories and trusted brands,” Mr. Van de Put said. “And overall, as we found in our State of Snacking Survey released last week, the tendency for daily snacking is up for a third consecutive year. And although 70% of global consumers report concerns about inflation, it has done little to date to change their grocery shopping behavior.”
Looking forward, Mondelez should benefit from consumers’ continued proclivity to eat at home, Mr. Van de Put said. He cited data indicating 60% of US adults do not intend to eat out more in 2022 than they did in 2021.
“This positions our core biscuits and chocolate portfolios well as they are skewed toward in-home consumption,” he said.
Operationally, Mr. Van de Put identified progress made by Mondelez in North America last year.
“We also grew our presence in the premium biscuit space with double-digit growth led by Tate’s, which we successfully transitioned to direct-store delivery,” he said. “Additionally, we expanded our presence in close-in adjacencies, such as baked snacks with the successful integration of Give & Go.”
Both Oreo and Chips Ahoy! enjoyed strong sales growth in the fourth quarter, he said.
While non-US markets enjoyed sales and earnings growth, the Mondelez executives said the challenges of inflationary pressures were not limited to North America.
“We are continuing to operate in a dynamic environment characterized by global input cost inflation alongside supply chain, labor and transportation disruption,” Mr. Van de Put said. “We are effectively mitigating these challenges through ongoing cost discipline and strategic pricing actions.”
He said global cost inflation was hitting the company hard, particularly expenses for transportation, edible oils, dairy and packaging.
In its guidance for 2022, Mondelez said it expects growth rates in line with its long-term objectives of 3% organic revenue and high single-digit adjusted earnings per share growth with free cash topping $3 billion. The company cautioned that its outlook was issued “in the context of greater-than-usual volatility as a result of COVID-19”.
During the call, Luca Zaramella also commented on how the effects of the third quarter strike will continue to be felt in the first half of 2022.
“We do still expect some pressure in Q1 and partially in Q2,” he said. “For Q1 specifically, we still expect to face larger supply chain headwinds in North America related to third-party partners and low inventory from last year’s strike that should improve as the year progresses.”
Inflationary pressures will continue in 2022, Mr. Zaramella said.
“As you are hearing across all sectors, we anticipate another year of material cost inflation which, in percentage terms, is expected to increase high single digits versus 2021,” he said. “As such, pricing will be a larger top-line contributor than in the previous years, but we do expect volume growth to also be a positive factor.”
In the fourth quarter, Mondelez net income was $1 billion, or 72¢ per share, down 13% from $1.16 billion, or 81¢, in the fourth quarter of 2021. Net sales were $7.66 billion, up 4.9% from $2.3 billion. The companies adjusted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was up 9%.
