Redskin

Mirtle: Projecting the Maple Leafs roster and cap outlook all the way to 2024-25


This is a fun post we tend to do around here every year. If you’re fan of another team, chances are your beat writer will produce one of them this week.

But it’s also a rather absurd exercise.

Which is why I like to bring out one of my favourite GIFs every time we do it…

To repeat a message I served up at this time last year: Projecting what an NHL team will look like beyond the next eight months — especially in this pandemic-influenced, low-cap environment — is extremely difficult. Roster turnover is always high, especially with teams like the Leafs, who have a lot of money tied up in a small core and a fluid supporting cast.

Still, this is a useful thought experiment that highlights how Toronto’s front office has to continue building this team and plotting its medium-term future. The Leafs no doubt have a whiteboard with some variation of this up somewhere in an office at 40 Bay Street.

For some ground rules: I won’t trade away players who are under contract through 2024-25. I’ll re-sign every restricted free agent and the significant unrestricted free agents who are likely to come back.

But there won’t be any free-agent signings from other organizations. And no trades, so the big guns are here throughout this projection.

Your methods may vary.

Before we dive in, let me be clear: This is meant to be an act of fun guesstimation more than anything. We’re going with our best assumptions and leaving blanks to be filled in.

Then, we can all yell about how I got the third D pairing in 2024-25 wrong in the comments. (We all know it will be Martin Marincin, anyway.





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